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9/24
2025
Bitcoin Selling Pressure: Supply, Demand, and Long-Term Uptrend Analysis
by Wyckoff Analytics

Bitcoin Selling Pressure: Supply, Demand, and the Path Ahead

Bitcoin remains at the center of market discussions, and one of the key themes right now is selling pressure. As supply increases, the market is showing signs of further downside movement—even within the broader context of Bitcoin’s long-term uptrend.

While small-cap assets have been outperforming, Bitcoin itself continues to lag. This underperformance highlights an important point: despite the strength of the overall trend, the current environment suggests there is room for prices to move lower before stability returns.


Supply and Demand Dynamics in Bitcoin

The market is currently experiencing a deterioration in demand, while supply is showing signs of increasing. Compared to previous market reactions, this wave of supply appears stronger and more sustained. Each successive attempt at demand recovery has weakened, paving the way for further selling pressure.

The expectation, therefore, is that supply could continue to increase—potentially surpassing earlier phases of selling. This sets the stage for possible lower price levels, even as the long-term bullish structure remains intact.


Potential Targets for Bitcoin’s Downside

Within this framework, the question arises: how far could Bitcoin go on the downside?

The market already respects a channel structure, with a specific level in play around the 101 range. If the verticality of the move increases—meaning sharper declines within shorter timeframes—the current structure could be violated. In such a case, even lower levels might come into focus before stabilization.

This analysis emphasizes that while there may be further downside, it remains within the larger uptrend context. The long-term trajectory of Bitcoin continues to allow room for corrections while keeping the broader bullish outlook intact.


Room for the Long-Term Uptrend

Despite current selling pressure, the long-term uptrend in Bitcoin remains valid. The price structure still shows space for the market to revisit lower levels without breaking the overall bullish path.

Looking at historical patterns, when Bitcoin touches key lows, there is often spacing that supports continued upward potential over time. The current decline may therefore be seen as part of a natural corrective process within the broader cycle.


Diminishing Strength in Rallies

Another important factor to note is the behavior of rallies. Recent rallies have shown diminishing strength, with attempts to push higher losing momentum. This aligns with the observation of weakening demand and rising supply.

Every attempt to upthrust has been met with reduced intensity, suggesting that the market is not yet ready for a strong upward breakout. Instead, the focus remains on managing the ongoing selling pressure and identifying levels where demand could eventually stabilize.


Conclusion

The current market conditions for Bitcoin highlight a clear theme: supply is rising, demand is weakening, and short-term downside remains likely. However, this does not disrupt the broader long-term uptrend that still defines Bitcoin’s trajectory.

While smaller assets may be outperforming in the short term, Bitcoin continues to navigate a corrective phase marked by increased verticality and diminishing rally attempts. Traders and investors should remain mindful of both the near-term risks and the long-term opportunities that this structure presents.

As always, the dynamics of supply and demand will remain the key drivers in shaping Bitcoin’s next move.

Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 

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