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Wyckoff Market Discussion (3+ months) - Use Once
Wyckoff Market Discussion (3+ months) - Use Once
A Detailed Look Into Springboards
Back-Testing/Validating Trading Plan (2017)
Beyond Springs And Upthrusts
High-Probability Wyckoff Trade Set-Ups
Improving Your Wyckoff Swing Trading Results
Intraday Trading Using The Wyckoff Method
Long-Term Campaigns and Tactical Swing Trades
Momentum, Volume And Price Structure
Point-and-Figure Part III
Practices For Successful Trading
Scan For Success Part 1
Scan For Success Part 2
Swing Trading Using The Wyckoff Method
Trading Technical Analysis Signals
Trust the Process (2019)
Upgrading Your Trading Plan (2018)
Wyckoff Market Discussion (3+ months) - Use Once
Wyckoff Market Discussion (3+ months) - Use Once
A Detailed Look Into Springboards
Back-Testing/Validating Trading Plan (2017)
Beyond Springs And Upthrusts
High-Probability Wyckoff Trade Set-Ups
Improving Your Wyckoff Swing Trading Results
Intraday Trading Using The Wyckoff Method
Long-Term Campaigns and Tactical Swing Trades
Momentum, Volume And Price Structure
Point-and-Figure Part III
Practices For Successful Trading
Scan For Success Part 1
Scan For Success Part 2
Swing Trading Using The Wyckoff Method
Trading Technical Analysis Signals
Trust the Process (2019)
Upgrading Your Trading Plan (2018)
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DISCUSS YOUR CHARTS, ANALYSIS AND TRADING

Be an active member of Wyckoff Nation! Post your chart analysis – past, present or future trades; or post about trading setups or process in general. Discuss Wyckoff related questions with your peers. Make a post and engage with your fellow Wyckoffians!!

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    Replies
    • #5599
      Dimitri Deychak
      Participant

      Let’s start a game – it’s called “This stock is being [Accumulated/Distributed] — Change my Mind!

      I’ll start — This stock (GRA) is being distributed, change my mind!

      Feels like a good bias game!

       

      • #5612
        Frantz Herr
        Moderator

    • #5590
      rdwyckoff
      Keymaster

      Weekly market update. Still uptrend. Institutions are buying one each reaction and absorbing supply very quickly. A true change of character reaction (read Automatic Reaction) will most likely be fast (5-7 trading days) and more pronounced (7-10%). That will finally lead for a pause. R

      Wyckoff pattern

       

      • #5597
        Dimitri Deychak
        Participant

        If you guys had an open position, would you close it out or see if supply that came in on the recent bar gets absorbed? Does the rally need to rest or s it just getting started?

        Attachments:
        • #5621
          rotageht
          Participant

          It would depend on where you entered the position. If you entered early and and are sitting on a good profit, you could close a portion of the position and lock in a profit with a SL for the remaining position also being profitable. Good luck on the trade and thanks sharing!!

      • #5593
        Frantz Herr
        Moderator

        Hi Roman, I’ve been studying the chapter on Absorption in David Weis’s book “Trades About to Happen” in preparation for the homework you gave us.  I came across this quote:

        Absorption does not always take the form of lateral movement. There are occasions when prices simply levitate higher. In these instances, prices climb the proverbial “wall of worry,” lock out would-be buyers waiting for a correction, and feed on anyone daring to go short. I think of the Greek phalanx marching in step across the Plain of Troy. Volatility usually stays low until a high-volume wide-range price bar temporarily stops the move.  

        It seems to describe the way the market has been moving since October pretty well; and relates nicely to your lectures about trends!  (Hope David doesn’t object to me lifting a short quote from his book)

        • #5595
          rdwyckoff
          Keymaster

          Great quote by great Wyckoffian describing extended uptrend move with vertical absorption.

    • #5589
      rdwyckoff
      Keymaster

      Someone was asking about schematics. Here they are. Roman

      Wyckoff schematics

       

    • #5581
      Frantz Herr
      Moderator

      How do others keep tabs on the behavior of the overall market?  I have a spreadsheet I update every weekend that looks at what the market is currently doing from various perspectives – Monthly price swings, Moving averages, Sentiment, Money flows, Indicators, Visualization, Breadth, Momentum and Comparative Index performance.  The only flies in the ointment this week are a breadth non-confirmation and the Put/Call sentiment.

      Posting this made me think I might want to add some cross-market performance indicators to the Comparative Index performance page of the spreadsheet.  Does anyone else have some cross-market indicators (stocks versus bonds etc) they keep tabs of?

       

    • #5567
      Frantz Herr
      Moderator

      I’m posting a stock trade I just entered to see if we can get some discussion going on the forums. The stock is GPRK. It’s in the oil patch. My annotated charts for the trade follow. My rationale is to participate in a potential developing uptrend in oil prices as a longer term campaign.  My initial R is 4+. Feel free to comment!  This is for discussion and education purposes ONLY and is NOT a recommendation; please refer to the disclaimer on the Forum main page.

      • #5568
        Frantz Herr
        Moderator

        • #5582
          rotageht
          Participant

          Here is what I see on the daily. Thanks for posting!

          • #5591
            rdwyckoff
            Keymaster

            Supply and Demand trading

            • #5592
              rotageht
              Participant

              Thank you for the feedback on the chart.

          • #5586
            Frantz Herr
            Moderator

            I really like the way you did your analysis Rotageht!  I am trying to train my eye to see all the same nuances you point out.  I think the regression line through the TR is upward sloping, so that’s one thing we differ on…  Thanks for posting

        • #5570
          Frantz Herr
          Moderator

          • #5571
            Frantz Herr
            Moderator

            • #5585
              aBuzz
              Participant

              Hey Frantz — I did a P&F for GPRK use ATR(14), 3-box reversal that autoscaled to $0.74 box-size. Those parameters produced a confirming count of $49 to $59 — just a confirming analysis. Good Work. I don’t really invest in this sector, but oil sector has really been beaten down. Seems like a good campaign idea.

            • #5587
              Frantz Herr
              Moderator

              Thanks for the feedback Buzz.  The virus may derail the global economic recovery – the maritime shipping stocks are getting hammered and may be the canary in the coal mine.  This trade in an oil stock may get torpedoed as well.  I like the GPRK chart action but keeping it on a short leash with my stop for now.

    • #5500
      aBuzz
      Participant

      Without admitting to my bias, the #37 is either easy or I’m missing something.

      • #5504
        Frantz Herr
        Moderator

        Here’s my analysis. If it’s wrong it doesn’t bother me. It’s just a reflection of my level of analytical skill at the moment. Actually, I would rather be wrong, I learn more from my mistakes and have something to work on correcting 🙂  (Just a guess, but from the time frame in months this looks like February 2003, at the end of the 2000 – 2003 bear market…)

        • #5510
          Frantz Herr
          Moderator

          The alternate bearish conclusion of Distribution would consider the inability of Demand to move price aggressively higher to a conclusive SOS after three attempts. It would observe that while Supply has diminished, Demand has also. There has as yet been no successful challenge by price of the selling zone between $40 and $42. Supply is a more important consideration than Demand in a base, but Demand needs to do its job eventually. Not really the case here as yet…

        • #5505
          aBuzz
          Participant

          Franz — our interpretation and markings agree!

          • #5507
            Frantz Herr
            Moderator

            Buzz, let’s see if we recognized it correctly when the solution is announced…

    • #5427
      Frantz Herr
      Moderator

       

      • #5429
        Frantz Herr
        Moderator

        This is an indicator of the market’s condition that Bruce Fraser has shared in WMD…

    • #5419
      Frantz Herr
      Moderator

      This is what I am seeing on the chart of Bias game #36

      • #5425
        aBuzz
        Participant

        Posted on twitter also.  The last two bars seem critical.  Next to last bar is a supply spike, but last bar price support holds above previous low (if re-accumulation Phase C).  My argument would be trend channel remains in tact — we should be alert for possible distribution.

        • #5428
          Frantz Herr
          Moderator

          The answer key was just posted on Twitter. The lesson in this one is the quality of Demand in the second TR. This was a challenging one to analyze! Every time I go through a Bias game I can tell my analytical skills get a little better. It’s a great way to learn – and fun at the same time!

      • #5422
        Frantz Herr
        Moderator

        The interpretation of Bias game #36 that would lead to a Bullish conclusion is that all the Selling effort that is being expended in the final reaction on the chart is unable to create a lower price commitment.  Looks Bearish, Acts Bullish.  I can see that as a possibility leading to a Bullish/Accumulation bias since the current TR evolved out of a prior uptrend and price is more likely to emerge from this consolidation heading in the same direction.

      • #5420
        rotageht
        Participant

        Hello. How did you attach the image of your chart?

        • #5421
          Frantz Herr
          Moderator

          Hi Rotageht.  When you posted your question, you opened up a dialog box.  At the top on the right hand side there is a little landscape icon.  If you click that you can post pictures in .png format.  Also, at the bottom of the box, there is a box titled Attachments:  If you click the Choose File box, you should be able to add a document file.  Hope this helps…  Frantz

    • #5214
      Frantz Herr
      Moderator

      The Biotech Industry ended last week in the 1/197 position within IBD’s industry classification

      • #5215
        Frantz Herr
        Moderator

        Here’s a weekly chart of a biotech on my WL (name withheld to protect the innocent).  Wyckoff Nation, what is your opinion of the bias; and what about timing and character for the next move?

    • #4123
      admin
      Keymaster

      DISCUSS YOUR CHARTS, ANALYSIS AND TRADING

Viewing 9 reply threads